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800 million jobs shall be lost to automation up until the year 2035, as forecasted by a study by Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Another study by McKinsey Global Institute, forecasts a similar 800 million job count loss, up until the year 2030!
- Notably, 4 million jobs have already been automated away in one region.
- A recent study shows that opioid deaths/addiction rises when auto plants close. (including loss of human manufacturing jobs to automation)
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Andrew Yang, a rising 2020 presidential candidate has already began to give 10 families Universal Basic Income-like pay of 1000 usd per month, no work required, no questions asked.
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Self driving trucks were being tested since 3 years ago.
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Elon Musk reports that self-driving now yields 98% accuracy with caveats.
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Truck driving is a quite popular job in USA, currently done by humans.
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See rtsinc on why trucking (by humans) is still america’s number one job.
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News December 10, 2019: Via Plus.ai, the first ever cross country commercial trip was completed by a self driving truck on December 10, 2019, driving for 3 days delivering butter from California to Pennsylvani. This is an instance where trucking is already automated away to artificial intelligence!
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Truck drivers are already doing things such as assaulting self driving Tesla 3 cars. What will happen when truck-driving jobs are actually lost?
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Humans are attacking self driving waymo cars with rocks and knives. What will happen when taxi services are lost to automated drivers?
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etc.
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Waymo self driving taxis with no drivers had been live since 2018.
- Taxi jobs have began to be lost.
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Four (4) million jobs were automated away in America according to a recent study.
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Thirty percent (30%) of shops in USA will be closed in a little while, due to things like amazon automation.
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As one example, call center jobs are already being automated. See sample call center job automation software.
- Call center jobs are quite popular in Jamaica.
- Below are situations where Jamaicans are celebrating growing human-based call center jobs:
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As another example, 100 Jamaican Wisynco jobs were reasonably automated away recently.
How long before Jamaican companies become aware of these cheaper-than-human automation strategies?
- Statistics show that retraining amidst new unemployment tends to bear little fruit. How will our many Jamaican call center workers thrive amidst automation?
- See also: "How talking machines are taking call centre jobs"
America has trillion dollar corporations like Amazon that can be taxed when it comes to automation..
Notably, the effects of automation are not constrained to America!!
Who shall countries like Jamaica tax when Jamaican jobs start to be consumed by global-like automation?
- Artificial Intelligence can yield exponential returns. Could an Ai boosted Jamaican economy provide something like an opt-in citizen's dividend or basic income in light of growing automation?
Albeit, since Jamaica has no Amazon-like place or large Artificial Intelligence aligned corporation, (and thereafter, little to no arguable means of delivering UBI-like programs of the scale that Andrew Yang's place of citizenship affords), some reasonble ways of combating these issues are to:
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Introduce modern Artificial Intelligence in our university Computer Science degrees. Foreign countries have excellent modern Artificial Intelligence courses embedded in their Computer Science degrees.
- As I wrote in gleaner in 2018, I advised UWI Artificial Intelligence lecturer to do this in 2016, and the lecturer is slowly introducing neural networks for eg since then.
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Try to equip our medium sized businesses (that have hired programmers) with more Artificial Intelligence aligned components, including building Artificial Intelligence skills in human resources.
- I had already began running Ai seminars with live artificial neural network programming sessions, at NCB where I work.
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Try to build independent institutions for Artificial Intelligence. (Abu Dhabi recently launched a University of Artificial Intelligence!)
- In 2016 I had launched "Machine Learning Jamaica Institute", as I pointed out, also in the aforementioned gleaner article.
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Launch initiatives such as RobotizeJa, to help democratize Artificial Intelligence usage.
The activities above, are reasonable ways to avoid or rather minimize abundant social-ills in the future, brought to bear by artificial intelligence usage, which is only speeding up, in some cases exponentially.
Of note, it is reasonably unethical to ignore focus on ai development because of the benefits it already brings, and is forecasted to bring, but, it is also careless to fail to try to put measures in place to prepare for the job-displacement that is to reasonably arrive here in Jamaica, where losses have reasonably already began.
